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[Jan 26, 2026] US Market Closing: Big Tech Rally & Geopolitical Tensions

Jan 26: US markets gain as tech earnings loom. Nvidia invests $2B in CoreWeave. Trump threatens Canada with tariffs. Full stock analysis.

 

[Market Summary]

The three major New York indices closed higher as investors focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major Big Tech companies.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: 49,412.40 (+313.69 pts, +0.64%)

  • S&P 500: 6,950.23 (+34.62 pts, +0.50%)

  • Nasdaq Composite: 23,601.36 (+100.11 pts, +0.43%)

Geopolitical & Policy Risks: President Donald Trump threatened a 100% tariff on Canadian imports if Canada signs a trade agreement with China. Additionally, concerns regarding a federal government shutdown have emerged following the shooting of an immigration enforcement agent in Minnesota. Democratic Senators have stated they will not approve a funding package if it includes certain DHS budget allocations, with a deadline of January 30.



[Major IB Investment Opinions]

  • Tesla (TSLA): Goldman Sachs maintained a Neutral rating. While positive on autonomous driving and robotaxi growth, they expressed concerns over earnings contributions due to increasing competition.

  • Nvidia (NVDA): UBS maintained a Buy rating, projecting that upward momentum will resume given strong demand and order backlogs.

  • Microsoft (MSFT): Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating, noting an attractive risk-reward ratio ahead of this week's earnings.

  • Cisco Systems (CSCO): Evercore upgraded the stock from In-line to Outperform and raised the target from $80 to $100, citing robust structural growth.

  • Dutch Bros (BROS): Citi initiated coverage with a Buy rating, citing excellent profitability and a brand growth strategy.

  • AppLovin (APP): Needham upgraded from Hold to Buy with a $700 target, projecting a recovery driven by e-commerce growth.


[Featured Stocks & Analyst Updates]

■ Nvidia (NVDA)

  • CoreWeave Investment: Nvidia is making a $2 billion equity investment in cloud infrastructure provider CoreWeave at $87.20 per share.

  • Infrastructure Build-out: CoreWeave plans to expand AI computing capacity to 5GW by 2030, equivalent to the power output of five large nuclear plants.

  • Jensen Huang's Commentary: "AI is entering its next frontier, triggering the largest infrastructure build-out in human history."

■ Alphabet (GOOGL)

  • Legal Settlement: Google reached a $68 million settlement in a class-action lawsuit regarding unauthorized voice recordings via Google Assistant.

  • Risk Analysis: While not financially burdensome, the case highlights the structural regulatory and privacy risks facing Big Tech in the AI era.

■ Apple (AAPL)

  • Earnings Preview (Jan 29): Expected Q4 EPS of $2.67 and revenue of $137.47B, showing significant QoQ growth.

  • Ad Strategy: BofA noted robust iPhone demand and confirmed that App Store search ad expansion will be implemented globally by the end of March 2026.

■ Microsoft (MSFT)

  • Earnings Preview (Jan 28): Expected EPS of $3.93 and revenue of $80.23B.

  • Azure Capacity: Guggenheim emphasized watching comments on capacity constraints and Copilot adoption in M365 Commercial.

  • Target Revisions: UBS lowered its target to $600 and Stifel lowered its target to $520, citing margin pressure from heavy AI talent and computing investment.

■ Meta Platforms (META)

  • Earnings Preview (Jan 28): Expected EPS of $8.19 and revenue of $58.35B.

  • Monetization Upside: Redburn Atlantic upgraded Meta to Buy ($900 target), arguing that Meta's AI monetization potential is undervalued.

■ Tesla (TSLA)

  • Earnings Preview (Jan 28): Expected EPS of $0.45 and revenue of $24.78B, with profits projected to drop nearly 40% YoY.

  • HSBC View: Reaffirmed a Reduce rating, citing a sales slowdown following the end of EV tax credits.

■ Starbucks (SBUX)

  • Earnings Preview (Jan 28): Expected EPS of $0.59 and revenue of $9.62B.

  • Long-term Outlook: Deutsche Bank expects a long-term operating margin of 17%+, while Mizuho raised its target to $95 (Neutral) despite rising labor and coffee costs.

■ GE Aerospace (GE)

  • Engine Growth: UBS ($374 PT) and RBC Capital ($355 PT) reaffirmed Buy ratings, citing excellent engine service margins and viewing the recent dip as a buying opportunity.

■ Boeing (BA)

  • Production Normalization: Bernstein ($298 target) and UBS ($275 target) noted signs of production recovery for the 737 and 787 programs.


[Technology & Specialized Sectors]

  • Applied Materials (AMAT): Deutsche Bank upgraded to Buy ($390 target), citing a constructive WFE market outlook for 2026–2027.

  • Palantir (PLTR): Target set at $208 (Buy) by Phillip Securities, driven by strong commercial revenue growth.

  • USA Rare Earth (USAR): Receiving a $1.6 billion investment from the U.S. government for a 10% stake to secure the national supply chain.

  • Intel (INTC): GF Securities expects Intel Foundry to potentially secure Apple as a customer for basic iPhone chips by 2028.

  • IonQ (IONQ): Announced the $1.8B acquisition of semiconductor foundry SkyWater Technologies (SKYT).

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR): Purchased 2,932 BTC for approximately $264.1 million, bringing total holdings to 712,647 BTC.

  • Eaton (ETN): To spin off its Mobility Group by Q1 2027 to focus on electrical and aerospace sectors.


[Healthcare & After-Hours Moves]

  • Medicare Advantage Slump: Healthcare stocks plunged in after-hours as the Trump administration proposed a lower-than-expected 0.09% average hike for 2027 rates.

    • UnitedHealth (UNH): -8%

    • Humana (HUM): -14%

    • CVS Health (CVS): -9%

  • Sanmina (SANM): Fell 7% after issuing Q2 2026 revenue guidance that missed consensus.

  • Storm Recovery Plays: Stocks like Tractor Supply (TSCO) and AutoZone (AZO) are viewed as potential beneficiaries of recovery efforts following recent winter storms.



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